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General Situation: A frontal trough in the vicinity of the SE Bahamas will continue to weaken as a weak high pressure ridge continues over the area through Wednesday. By Thursday, an approaching cold front and pre-frontal activity will affect South Florida and the Extreme NW Bahamas as the system moves south-eastwards. The front will continue to trigger unsettled weather over the NW Bahamas as it becomes stationary. Cloudiness and unsettled weather will spread southward across the Central and SE Bahamas through the weekend.

Monday 14th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and very warm with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm with the slight chance of a passing shower, while variably cloudy with lingering scattered showers or a thunderstorm in the Central and SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 89°F and a minimum temperature 77°F. Small craft should exercise caution due to swells in exposed Atlantic waters. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots in the NW and Central Bahamas, building to 15 to 20 knots at times in the Central Islands, and E’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas, falling to 10 knots or less at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas, but building to 4 to 6 feet at times in the Central Islands and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times, but up to 6 feet in diminishing moderate to slight N’ly to NE’ly swells across the Bahamas.

Tuesday 15th – Variably cloudy, and very warm with the chance of few scattered showers and possibly isolated thunderstorms mainly across the Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. A mix of sun and clouds across the NW Bahamas with the chance of a passing shower, turning mainly fair and warm at night time. Maximum temperature 87°F and a minimum temperature 77°F. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots overall areas, but decreasing to 10 knots or less at times mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet overall areas, but falling to 1 to 3 feet at times across the Central Bahamas in diminishing .slight N’ly to NE’ly swells over exposed Atlantic waters.

Wednesday 16th – Partly to mostly sunny and hot with few scattered showers mainly across the Central and SE Bahamas during the daytime. Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with the chance of an isolated shower. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Winds E to SE veering S to SW at 10 to 15 knots across the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet overall areas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times in slight NE’ly to E’ly swells across Atlantic exposed waters.

Thursday 17th – Variably cloudy, and hot with the chance of isolated showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm across the Bahamas during the daytime, turning variably cloudy and warm at night with the chance of few scattered showers mainly across the NW Bahamas. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 77°F.  Winds variably at 10 knots or less but becoming SW to W at 10 to 15 knots at times in the NW Bahamas, while E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas. Seas 1 to 3 feet overall areas, but occasionally 2 to 4 feet across the NW and SE Bahamas at times.

Friday 18th – Partly to occasionally cloudy, hot and humid in the NW Bahamas with some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime, turning mostly cloudy and warm at night with few lingering showers likely. Partly cloudy, hot and humid in the Central and SE Bahamas with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms early, turning partly cloudy to fair and warm at night with the chance of a passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Winds variable at 10 knots or less across the NW and Central Bahamas and E’ly at 10 to 15 knots across the SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 1 to 3 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas, and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times.

Saturday 19th – Partly to mostly cloudy, and sultry with some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 89°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots but gusty at times across the NW Bahamas and E’ly at 10 to 15 knots across the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the NW Bahamas but higher in gusts and 2 to 4 feet across the Central and SE Bahamas.

Sunday 20th – Partly to mostly cloudy, and sultry with few lingering scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms across the Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 78°F. Small craft should exercise caution across most areas of the Bahamas but some lulls expected at times. Winds E’ly at 15 to 20 knots overall areas, but falling below 15 knots at times mainly across the Central Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet overall areas, but falling to 3 to 5 feet at times, especially across the Central Bahamas.

Beach-goers and mariners should be vigilant for rough surf and the moderate to high risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along the north and east coast beaches during the stated advisories. Mariners should exercise caution for gusty winds and higher seas during heavy showers or strong to severe thunderstorms. Mariners should also be alert for waterspout activity during the daytime through nightfall across all areas. Localized flooding during heavy downpours across low lying and flood prone areas is expected.

Geoffrey Greene
For (Director)

 

 

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