General Situation: A large elongated trough continues to bring unsettled weather across the SE Bahamas along with lingering weather from a dissipating front across the NW Bahamas. This front will enhance showers across the Central Bahamas as it drifts southward and dissipates Friday. Another cold front will enter the Bahamas by late Sunday into early Monday, followed by a strong high pressure ridge. Finally, a third cold front will approach the area late Wednesday bringing more moisture to the area as tropical moisture continues to affect the SE Bahamas.

Thursday 16th – Partly cloudy, warm and breezy with few morning showers likely, turning partly cloudy to fair at night. Maximum temperature 84°F and minimum temperature 74°F. Small craft caution continues across the NW Bahamas. Winds NE’ly 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts the NW Bahamas and NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet in the NW Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet over the Central and SE Bahamas.

Friday 17th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy and warm with few scattered showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm near the frontal boundary. Mainly fair and breezy with the chance of an isolated shower or two  near the frontal boundary at night. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 73°F. Small craft should exercise caution for NW and Central Bahamas followed by a caution in the SE Bahamas by early afternoon. Winds NE’ly at 15 to 20 knots with stronger gusts over the NW and Central Bahamas and NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots across the SE Bahamas, increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early afternoon. Seas 4 to 7 feet over the ocean but higher in gusts across the NW and Central Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas building to 4 to 7 feet later.

Saturday 18th – Partly sunny, breezy and warm with few passing isolated showers mainly across the SE Bahamas. Fair and mild at night time with lingering clouds or a few showers across SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 84°F and minimum temperature 73°F. Small craft  caution continues for the entire Bahamas. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots across the entire Bahamas, but decreasing to 10 to 15 knots over the NW Bahamas late. Seas 4 to 7 feet over the entire Bahamas but decreasing to 2 to 4 feet over most of the NW Bahamas late.

Sunday 19th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy and warm with few scattered showers or a possible isolated thunderstorm in parts of the NW and SE Bahamas. Fair and warm at night time except for lingering clouds and showers in the NW and SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 84°F and minimum temperature 71°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the SE Bahamas early. Winds variable at 10 knots or less across the NW Bahamas; NE to E at 10 to 15 knots in the Central Bahamas, falling light and  variable at times and NE’ly at 15 to 20 knots at first  in the SE Bahamas, falling to 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 1 to 3 feet for NW Bahamas; 2 to 4 feet in the Central Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet early in the SE Bahamas, dropping to 2 to 4 feet later.

Monday 20th – Partly cloudy to cloudy, breezy and warm with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas through nightfall. Partly sunny with isolated showers in the Central Bahamas, turning fair and mild at night. Maximum temperature 83°F and minimum temperature 69°F. Small craft advisory comes into effect for NW Bahamas by mid-morning and a caution comes into effect for the Central and SE Bahamas by early afternoon. Winds N to NE at 15 to 25 knots across the NW Bahamas and NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 feet over the NW Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet  in the Central and SE Bahamas, building 4 to 7 feet later.

Tuesday 21st – Partly cloudy to cloudy and mild with some scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms across the Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 83°F and minimum temperature 74°F. Winds SSE to SSW at 10 to 15 knots across the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E’ly at 10 to 15 knots across the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the ocean for all areas.

Wednesday 22nd – Partly to mostly cloudy and warm with the scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the Central and SE Bahamas during the day through nighttime. Maximum temperature 84°F and minimum temperature 72°F. Winds variable at 10 knots or less, but turning NW to N at 10 to 15 knots behind the front and SW’ly at 10 to 15 knots ahead of the front. Seas 3 feet or less at first but building to 2 to 4 feet later over all areas.

Beachgoers and Mariners should exercise caution due to the high surf and the risk of rip currents along the northern and eastern shorelines during stated advisories. Boaters and beachgoers should be alert for possible waterspout activity and take all necessary precautions to protect life and property. Residents should be alert for the risk of localized flooding during heavy downpours and prolonged rainfall events.

Geoffrey N. Greene

For (Director)

 

 

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