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General Situation: A frontal trough will produce spotty showers as it gradually dissipates in the vicinity of the Central and Southeast while high pressure ridge north of the area gradually shifts south and eastwards through Saturday. A strong cold front quickly followed by a weaker dryer front will bring unsettled weather and hazardous marine conditions to the NW Bahamas on Sunday and Monday respectively as it continues through the Central and SE Bahamas on Tuesday. High pressure ridge will rapidly build in wake of the front as brisk winds continue over the area through Wednesday.

Thursday 17th – A mix of sun and clouds and warm with few spotty showers and possible isolated thunderstorms mainly across the Central Bahamas during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to fair skies and mild at night time with lingering showers mainly across the Central Bahamas. Maximum temperature 77°F and minimum temperature 63°F. Small craft should exercise caution over all areas due to NE’ly swells. Winds N to NE at 10 to 15 knots veering NE to E at 10 to 15 knots later for all areas, falling light and variable times. Seas 2 to 4 feet overall areas, but up to 6 feet in N’ly to NE’ly swells across the Atlantic exposures.

Friday 18th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with few passing showers mainly across the NW and SE Bahamas during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to cloudy and cool at night with one or two lingering showers. Maximum temperature 78°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts at times, falling light and variable at times mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet overall areas but slightly higher in slight N’ly to NE’ly swells over Atlantic exposures.

Saturday 19th – A mix of sun and clouds and warm with a spotty shower during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair at night with lingering spotty showers. Maximum temperature 84°F and minimum temperature 67°F. Small craft should exercise caution at times in the NW Bahamas and a caution across the Central and SE Bahamas later. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots at times in the NW Bahamas veering more E to SE later and E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, increasing to 15 to 20 knots later. Seas 2 to 4 feet at first over most areas but building to 4 to 6 feet at times in the NW Bahamas and raising to 4 to 6 feet later in the Central and SE Bahamas.

Sunday 20th – Partly cloudy, warm and breezy with few isolated showers and thunderstorms at first across the NW Bahamas, turning mostly cloudy with scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms by early afternoon. Elsewhere partly to mostly sunny and warm with the chance of a shower or two during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to cloudy at times with an increase in showers and isolated thunderstorms. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 69°F. Small craft advisory is in effect for the NW Bahamas and caution is in effect for the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds S to SW switching to W to NW at 20 to 30 knots in the NW Bahamas and SSE to SSE at 15 to 20 knots switching to the SW to W at 15 to 25 knots mainly in the Central Bahamas later. Seas 8 to 12 feet across the NW Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas early, building to 5 to 8 feet later.

Monday 21st – Variably cloudy and mild across the NW and Central Bahamas during the daytime, but cloudy and breezy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the SE Bahamas through nightfall. Maximum temperature 75°F and minimum temperature 58°F. Small craft should exercise caution early for the NW and Central Bahamas and a caution comes into effect for the SE Bahamas late. Winds NW’ly at 15 to 20 knots early, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later in the NW Bahamas and Central Bahamas and variable at 10 knots or less at first in the SE Bahamas, becoming NE’ly at 15 to 20 knots later. Seas 4 to 6 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas early, decreasing to 2 to 4 feet later and 1 to 3 feet in the SE Bahamas building to 4 to 6 feet later.

Tuesday 22nd – Variably cloudy, breezy and warm with the slight chance of a passing showers during the daytime, turning partly cloudy to cloudy, breezy and cool at night with the chance of a shower. Maximum temperature 77°F and minimum temperature 62°F. Small craft should exercise caution for all areas. Winds NE to E at first over the Bahamas switching E to SE at 15 to 20 knots later. Seas 4 to 6 feet overall areas.

Wednesday 23rd – Partly sunny, a bit breezy and warm with few scattered showers mainly across the Central Bahamas during the daytime, but partly to mostly cloudy in the NW and Central Bahamas at night with scattered showers and a possible thunderstorm or two. Maximum temperature 79°F and minimum temperature 68°F. Small craft should exercise caution across the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds SSE to SSW at 10 to 15 knots, switching to S to SW at 12 to 18 knots late and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots across the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas building to 3 to 5 feet later and 4 to 6 feet across the Central and SE Bahamas.

Beach-goers and mariners should exercise caution due to rough surf and the risk of dangerous rip currents along northern and eastern shorelines during stated advisories.

Geoffrey Greene
For (Director)