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SEVEN DAY FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS from 25th to 31st March 2019

General Situation: A surface trough across the Central Bahamas to east Cuba is interacting with a dissipating frontal boundary to produce some unsettled weather over the area. As the systems dissipate a deep-layered trough will move across the NW Bahamas on Tuesday as it moves with a surface front across the Grand Bahama area by Wednesday morning. A low pressure system will form northeast of the front as it interacts with the deep-layered trough moving south-eastward across the Central and SE Bahamas through late Thursday or early Friday. A ridge of high pressure will bring moderate to strong breezes across the Bahamas in wake of the front through Sunday.

 

Monday 25th – Mostly cloudy, breezy and warm across with some scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms early, turning partly cloudy and mild at night with lingering showers. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 68°F. Small craft should exercise caution across the Central and SE Bahamas early. Winds E’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots by afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas early, falling to 2 to 4 feet by afternoon.

 

Tuesday 26th – Partly to mostly sunny and warm with the chance of isolated showers early, mostly fair to clear skies and mild at night with the slight chance of a shower. Maximum temperature 82F and minimum temperature 66F. Winds variable at 10 knots or less across the NW Bahamas, switching more NW to N at 10 to 15 knots later and NE to E at 10 to 15 knots early in the Central and SE Bahamas, then falling light and variable at times before switching N’ly at 10 to 15 knots late. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the entire Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times.

 

Wednesday 27th – Partly to mostly sunny and warm with the chance of a few isolated showers during the daytime. Variably cloudy and mild at night with scattered showers or a possible thunderstorm mainly across the NW Bahamas. Maximum temperature 78°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Small craft advisory comes into effect for the NW Bahamas late. Winds NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots across the entire Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and becoming N to NE at 15 to 25 knots late in the NW Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the entire Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times but building to 5 to 8 feet late in the NW Bahamas. Moderate to large N’ly swells across open exposed waters in the NW Bahamas late.

 

Thursday 28th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy to windy and warm with few scattered showers or the chance of a possible isolated thunderstorm mainly across the SE Bahamas early. Fair to clear skies and cool at night with the slight chance of a shower. Maximum temperature 77°F and minimum temperature 65°F. Small craft advisory continues across the NW Bahamas through the night. Winds NE’ly at 15 to 25 knots in the NW Bahamas with higher gusts and N to NE at 10 to 15 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 5 to 8 feet across the NW Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet across the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times. Moderate to large N’ly to NE’ly swells across open exposed waters in the NW and Central Bahamas and moderate N’ly swells across the SE Bahamas.

 

Friday 29th – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy to windy and warm with the slight chance of a shower mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas, turning mainly fair and mild at night. Partly sunny and warm across the SE Bahamas with mostly fair to clear skies at night time. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 67°F. Small craft advisory in effect for the NW and Central Bahamas. Winds NE’ly at 15 to 25 knots across the NW and Central Bahamas and N to NE at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 5 to 8 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times. Moderate to large N’ly and NE’ly swells across open exposed waters across the entire Bahamas.

 

Saturday 30th – Partly to mostly sunny, a bit breezy and warm with the slight chance of a shower across the NW and Central Bahamas, turning partly cloudy to fair at night with the slight chance of a shower. Partly sunny and warm across the SE Bahamas with mostly fair to clear skies at night time. Maximum temperature 81°F and minimum temperature 68°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the NW and Central Bahamas. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots across the NW and Central Bahamas and NE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas, falling light and variable at times. Seas 4 to 6 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times. Moderate to large N’ly and NE’ly swells across open exposed waters in the NW Bahamas and moderate NE’ly swells across open exposed waters in the Central and SE Bahamas.

 

Sunday 31st – Partly to mostly sunny, breezy and warm with the chance of showers likely. Partly cloudy to fair skies and breezy with the slight chance of a shower at night time. Maximum temperature 81°F and minimum temperature 69°F. Small craft should exercise caution across the entire Bahamas. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots, falling to 10 to 15 knots at times for the entire Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet across the entire Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet at times. Large NE’ly swells across open exposed waters across all area early but decreasing to moderate NE’ly swells through nightfall.

 

Beach-goers and mariners should exercise extreme caution due to rough surf and the high risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along north and east coast beaches during stated advisories. Boaters should also remain alert for the possibility of moderate to large swells generated from deep lows some distance away affecting the Bahamas periodically along with sporadic waterspout activity.

 

Geoffrey Greene

For (Director)