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General Situation: A stubborn upper level trough across the NW Bahamas continues to enhance convective activity in the area as a surface high pressure ridge maintains moderate to fresh breezes over the Central and SE Bahamas. The upper level trough will persist across the NW Bahamas and develop into an upper level low with troughing over the entire Bahamas through the remainder of the week. Meanwhile, high pressure ridge will continue to meander north or just near the Extreme NW Bahamas as it produces moderate to fresh breezes in parts of the Central and SE Bahamas.

Monday 15th – Variably cloudy, humid and hot with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime. Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with few scattered showers or the chance of an isolated thunderstorm mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas. Maximum temperature 91°F and a minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet across the Central and SE Bahamas.

Tuesday 16th – Partly cloudy, humid and hot with spotty scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm at night with the chance of passing showers. Maximum temperature 91°F and a minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the Central Bahamas later. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet in the Central Bahamas later.

Wednesday 17th – Partly to mostly sunny, hot and humid with few isolated showers and isolated thunderstorm during the daytime.Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm with few lingering showers across the NW Bahamas at night time. Maximum temperature 92°F and minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the SE Bahamas. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW and Central Bahamas, decreasing to 10 knots or less in the Northern Bahamas at times and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots at times later. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times across the Northern Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet at times later.

Thursday 18th – Partly to mostly sunny, humid and hot with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime. Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm at night with isolated passing showers likely. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 80°F. Small craft should continue to exercise caution across the SE Bahamas. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots in the SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet at times.

Friday 19th – Partly to mostly cloudy, humid and hot with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW Bahamas during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 91°F and a minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should exercise caution in the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds SE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots at later in the Central Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet later in the Central Bahamas.

Saturday 20th – Partly cloudy to cloudy, humid and hot with widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 91°F and a minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should continue to exercise caution across the Central and SE Bahamas. Winds SE’ly at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas early, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots across the Central Bahamas later. Seas 2 to 4 feet in the NW Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet in the Central Bahamas later.

Sunday 21st – Variably cloudy, humid and hot with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime through nightfall. Maximum temperature 90°F and a minimum temperature 79°F. Small craft should continue to exercise caution across the Central and SE Bahamas early. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the NW Bahamas and E’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the NW Bahamas and 4 to 6 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas, falling to 2 to 4 feet later.

Beach-goers and mariners should be vigilant for rough surf and the moderate risk of dangerous rip currents mainly along the north and east coast beaches during stated advisories. Mariners should exercise caution for gusty winds and higher seas during heavy showers or thunderstorms. Mariners should also be alert waterspout activity during the daytime across all areas. Residents should take all precautions to remain hydrated and minimize outdoor exposure during peak sunshine periods as heat indices continue to reach the low to the mid-triple-digit range.

Geoffrey Greene
For (Director)