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3-DAY MARINE FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR 24 HOURS FROM 6:00 AM, MONDAY, 26TH SEPTEMBER, 2022
(ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT 0930 UTC.)

WARNINGS: BOATERS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD BE VIGILANT DUE TO THE HIGH RISK OF WATERSPOUT AND TORNADIC ACTIVITY. BEACH-GOERS IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS, SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ALONG EAST AND SOUTH COAST BEACHES DUE TO THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND ROUGH SURF.GENERAL SITUATION: DEEP LAYERED TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING FROM HURRICANE IAN, LOCATED IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA, WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS WHILE GRADUALLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARDS.

AREA – FOR THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS:

WEATHER: A BIT BREEZY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.

ADVISORY: EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SEAS: 3 TO 5 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

AREA – FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS:

WEATHER: BREEZY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.

ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION REMAINS IN EFFECT.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS.

SEAS: 4 TO 7 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

SUNRISE: 6:59 AM

SUNSET: 7:01 PM

MOONRISE: 7:33 AM

MOONSET: 7:43 PM

HIGH TIDE: 8:43 AM

LOW TIDE: 2:59 PM

HIGH TIDE: 9:00 PM

LOW TIDE: 3:12 AM TUE.

EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): TROUGHING AND TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IAN, LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA, WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES ITS NORTHWESTWARD FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST FOR TUESDAY:

WEATHER: BREEZY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

SEAS: 4 TO 7 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY:

WEATHER: BREEZY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

WINDS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

SEAS: 5 TO 8 FEET BUT HIGHER IN GUSTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. 4 TO 7 FEET OVER THE OCEAN IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: SEE THE LATEST NEWS ITEM ON HURRICANE IAN. ELSEWHERE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING PERSISTENT, BUT DISORGANIZED, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM OR 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION THROUGH THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

FORECASTER: S. SEARS

 

 

ALERT #2 ON HURRICANE IAN
(ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY, TUESDAY 27TH SEPTEMBER, 2022 AT 9PM EDT.)

LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF GRAND BAHAMA AND THE BIMINIS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN THE MENTIONED ISLANDS WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 8 PM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 83.0 DEGREES WEST, OR ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUNTA GORDA, OR ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS, OR ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ALICE TOWN, BIMINI, OR ABOUT 310 WEST OF RED BAYS, ANDROS, OR ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FREEPORT, GRAND BAHAMA, OR ABOUT 360 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NEW PROVIDENCE.

HURRICANE IAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF IAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TONIGHT, AND APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IAN IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  IAN IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES.

RESIDENTS IN GRAND BAHAMA AND THE BIMINIS ARE ASKED TO PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, INCLUDING ABACO, BERRY ISLANDS, NORTH ANDROS, NEW PROVIDENCE AND ELEUTHERA COULD EXPERIENCE WINDS GUSTING TO GALE-FORCE DURING THAT PERIOD.

RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IAN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  RESIDENTS IN THESE ISLANDS ARE ASKED TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION AS THESE RAIN BANDS WILL BRING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADIC ACTIVITY.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY.  AS A RESULT, SEVERE LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW-LYING AND FLOOD-PRONE AREAS.

ISSUED BY: KAYLINDA WARD-FORBES

 

 

 

 

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