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BAHAMAS SEVEN – DAY WEATHER FORECAST 5th to 11th February, 2024

General Situation:
A deep low-pressure system will move across the Northwest Bahamas on Monday accompanied by unsettled weather along its attached frontal boundary. Periods of moderate to severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours, very gusty winds, possible hail and waterspout or tornadic activity is expected across the area as the low moves northeastwards through early Wednesday. The low is expected to gradually strengthen and the pressure gradient behind it will tighten to produce strong winds up to gale force through Wednesday. This will contribute to hazardous marine conditions (high, rough seas) through most of the week.

MONDAY 5th
– Partly cloudy to occasionally overcast with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the afternoon. Mostly cloudy, cool and breezy to windy with a few residual showers tonight. Small craft advisory will come into effect at night. Expect gusty winds and higher seas in heavy showers and thunderstorms. Winds: South to Southwest at 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts in the Northwest Bahamas becoming Southwest to West at 20 to 25 knots at night; Southwest to West at 15 to 25 knots in the Central and Southeast Bahamas, increasing 20 to 30 knots at night. Seas: 2 to 4 feet over the ocean in the Northwest Bahamas, building 7 to 10 feet in Westerly swells at night; 5 to 8 feet in the Central and Southeast Bahamas, building 8 to 12 feet in Southwest to Westerly swells at night.

TUESDAY 6th
– Cloudy to occasionally overcast and windy to very windy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Small craft operators are advised to remain in port. Winds: Northwest to North at 20 to 30 knots gusting to gale force in the Northwest Bahamas; West to Northwest at 20 to 30 knots gusting to gale force in the Central and Southeast Bahamas. Seas: 8 to 12 feet for all areas, peaking up to 16 to 20 feet in West to Northwesterly swells in the Gulf Stream and along Atlantic exposures especially in the Northwest Bahamas.

WEDNESDAY 7th
– Variably cloudy and breezy to windy with widely scattered showers and the chance of a few thunderstorms. Small craft operators are advised to remain in port. Winds: Northwest to North at 20 to 25 knots, gusting to near gale. Seas: 7 to 10 feet, building 15 to 19 feet in North to Northeasterly swells in the Gulf Stream and along Atlantic exposures.

THURSDAY 8th
– Partly cloudy and a bit breezy with a possible stray shower or two, turning fair and cool at night. Small craft advisory is in effect due to swells. Winds: North to Northeast at 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 4 to 7 feet building 8 to 12 feet along Atlantic exposures in North to Northeasterly Swells.

FRIDAY 9th
– Partly sunny and mild, turning fair and cool at night. Small craft advisory is in effect due to swells. Winds: Northeast to East at 10 to 15 knots. Seas: 2 to 4 nearshore and in sheltered areas, building up to 11 feet in Northeasterly swells along Atlantic exposures.

SATURDAY 10th
– Partly sunny and mild, turning fair and cool at night. Small craft advisory is in effect due to swells. Winds: East to Southeast at 10 to 15 knots for all areas, becoming Easterly at 15 to 20 knots in the Southeast Bahamas at night. Seas: 2 to 4 in the Northwest and Central Bahamas and 4 to 7 feet nearshore in the Southeast Bahamas but building up to 10 feet in Northeasterly swells along Atlantic exposures.

SUNDAY 11th
– Partly sunny and a bit warm, turning fair and mild at night. Small craft advisory is in effect due to swells. Winds: East to Southeast at 10 to 15 knots for all areas. Seas: 2 to 4 in the Northwest and Central Bahamas and 4 to 7 feet nearshore in the Southeast Bahamas but building up to 8 feet in Northeasterly swells along Atlantic exposures.

K. WARD-FORBES (CMO)
Forecast Office Section

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BAHAMAS MARINE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WEDNESDAY 07th FEBRUARY 2024

WARNINGS: HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS DUE TO GUSTY WINDS, HIGH SEAS, AND THE HIGH RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. BEACH-GOERS AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD REFRAIN FROM ENTERING THE WATERS, AND PEDESTRIANS AND MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION ALONG COASTAL ROADS, ESPECIALLY THE GLASS WINDOW BRIDGE ON THE ISLAND OF ELEUTHERA, DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING FROM OVER-TOPPING WAVES.

GENERAL SITUATION:  A DEEP ATLANTIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIL A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS, SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS SEA SWELLS, AND POCKETS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGHOUT THE ARCHIPELAGO.

ALL AREAS

WEATHER: WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS TONIGHT

ADVISORY: SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT

WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND NORTHWEST TO NORTH AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEAST ISLANDS. WINDS WITH GUST TO NEAR GALE FORCE OVER ALL AREAS

SEAS: 8 TO 12 FEET, BUILDING UP TO 18 FEET IN NORTH AND NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS IN THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL ISLANDS AND 16 FEET IN NORTHEASTERLY AND EASTERLY SWELLS IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS

SUN, MOON & TIDES

SUNSET:  5:57 PM – SUNRISE: 6:49 AM THU
MOONSET: 3:30 PM – MOONRISE: 5:55 AM THU
HIGH TIDE: 5:34 PM & 6:11 AM THU – LOW TIDE: 11:41 PM & 12:41 PM THU

WEATHER OUTLOOK: WINDS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH WHILE LARGE NORTH AND NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS.

FORECASTER: ANASTASHIA FERNANDER

 

 

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