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BAHAMAS MARINE FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 12PM EDT, WEDNESDAY, 19TH JUNE, 2024
(ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT 1545 UTC.)

WARNINGS:
MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN ATLANTIC WATERS DUE TO MODERATE SWELLS AND FOR THE POTENTIAL OF WATERSPOUT AND FUNNEL CLOUD ACTIVITY. BEACH-GOERS SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG EAST COAST BEACHES AND ATLANTIC EXPOSURES.

GENERAL SITUATION:
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES ACROSS THE ISLANDS TODAY. MEANWHILE, A BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS WILL SUPPORT SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN.

FOR ALL AREAS:
ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ATLANTIC EXPOSURES WITH A CAUTION IN IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE.
WINDS: NORTHEAST TO EAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND 15 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.
SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET LOCALLY BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET IN ATLANTIC EXPOSURES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING UP TO 6 FEET IN ATLANTIC EXPOSURES IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.
WEATHER: CHANCE OF A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.

SUNSET: 8:00PM
SUNRISE: 6:21AM THU

MOONRISE: 6:05PM
MOONSET: 4:45AM THU

LOW TIDE: 12:25PM & 1:26AM THU
HIGH TIDE: 6:55PM & 7:07AM THU

EXTENDED WEATHER OUTLOOK:
(FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS) BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BAHAMAS MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING AND BEACHING CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY, WHILE THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW COUPLED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE ISLANDS TRACK WESTWARDS KEEPING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ELEVATED ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:
(June 1st through November 30th)
(1) An area of showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles east of the Bahamas associated with a surface trough of low pressure will continue to move westward or west-northwestwards over the next few days. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some gradual development and the system has a low 20 percent chance for formation development through the next 7 days.
(2) Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development through early next week. Formation chance is a low 30 percent through 7 days. Elsewhere tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

FORECASTER: GREGORY D THOMPSON (CCO)

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SEVEN-DAY FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS from 16th to 22nd June 2024

General Situation:   A surface trough lingering near the Northern Bahamas coupled with available tropical moisture streaming across the area will support some cloudiness along with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly across the Northwest Bahamas as surface high pressure dominates the remainder of the islands. The trough will shift northeastwards and exit the area. High pressure will then strengthen over the islands through the week leading to a freshening of the winds. This will result in hazardous boating and beaching conditions. By mid-week an area of low pressure will develop east of the Southern Bahamas and shift in a northwesterly direction east of the islands before moving into north Florida and weakening by weeks end.

Sunday 16th – Partly cloudy, warm and humid with isolated showers and the chance of a few isolated thunderstorms across the NW Bahamas…partly sunny and warm with isolated showers across the Cntrl and SE Bahamas. Expect mostly fair and warm conditions with the slight chance of an isolated shower or two at night across all areas. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 76°F. Gusty winds and higher seas can be expected in showers and thunderstorms. Winds NE to E 10 to 15 knots falling light and variable at times. Seas 2 to 4 feet over open waters.

Monday 17th – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with the chance of a few isolated showers during the day. Expect fair skies and breezy conditions with a passing shower or two possible at night. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 76°F. Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots in the NW Bahamas and 15 knots in the Cntrl and SE Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet over open waters in the NW Bahamas and 3 to 5 feet in the Cntrl and SE Bahamas.

Tuesday 18th – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with a few brief passing showers possible during the day. Expect fair and breezy conditions at night with the chance of a brief passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 76°F. Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots in the NW and Cntrl Bahamas and 15 knots in the SE Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet over open waters in the NW and Cntrl Bahamas and 3 to 5 feet in the SE Bahamas.

Wednesday 19th – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with a few brief passing showers possible during the day. Expect fair and breezy conditions at night with the chance of a brief passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 76°F. Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds NE to E at 15 to 20 knots in the NW and Cntrl Bahamas and E to SE at 10 to 15 knots in the SE Bahamas. Seas 4 to 6 feet over open waters in the NW and Cntrl Bahamas and 2 to 4 feet in the SE Bahamas but higher along Atlantic  exposures.

Thursday 20th – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with a few brief passing showers possible during the day. Expect fair and breezy conditions at night with the chance of a brief passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds E to SE at 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet over open waters.

Friday 21st – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with a few brief passing showers possible during the day. Expect fair and breezy conditions at night with the chance of a brief passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 77°F. Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds E to SE at 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet over open waters.

Saturday 22nd – Partly sunny, warm and breezy with the chance of a brief passing shower or two during the day. Expect fair skies with the chance of a few stray showers at night. Maximum temperature 90°F and  minimum temperature 77°F.  Small craft operators should exercise caution. Winds E to SE at 15 knots and gusty at times. Seas 3 to 5 feet over open waters higher in gusts.

Beach-goers and mariners should be extremely vigilant due to rough surf and the high risk of dangerous rip currents during stated advisories. Mariners should heed warnings due to strong gusty winds and rough seas, along with possible localized waterspout activity.

Gregory D Thompson (CCO)
For (Director)

 

 

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