.
.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:

THE TROPICS ARE BECOMING BUSY AS THERE ARE 3 AREAS OF INTEREST.

1. SATELLITE, RADAR, AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS, NORTH CAROLINA, IS ACQUIRING MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES AND MOVE OVER COLDER WATERS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA ON WEDNESDAY, ENDING ANY OPPORTUNITY FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY MIDWEEK. THE FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS IS HIGH AT 70 PERCENT.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MEANDERS NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE IN THE WEEK WHEN THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THE FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS IS MEDIUM AT 60 PERCENT.

3. A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE JUST OFFSHORE OF WEST AFRICA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS BEFORE A COMBINATION OF DRY AIR ALOFT AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS LIMIT ANY CHANCE OF FORMATION WHILE THE WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN LATE WEEK. THE FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS IS LOW AT 20 PERCENT.

 

—–

 

BAHAMAS 3-DAY MARINE FORECAST

THIS IS THE 3-DAY MARINE FORECAST FOR THE BAHAMAS FOR 24 HOURS FROM 6:00 AM, SUNDAY, 13TH JUNE, 2021, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT 1000 UTC.

WARNINGS: THERE REMAINS THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUT AND/OR FUNNEL CLOUD ACTIVITY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. THE PUBLIC SHOULD LIMIT OUTDOOR ACTIVITY AND REMAIN HYDRATED DUE TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING THE TRIPLE DIGITS.

GENERAL SITUATION: NEARBY TROUGHING TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO HELP TRIGGER SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  MEANWHILE, A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES AROUND THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

AREA: NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

WEATHER: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

AREA: CENTRAL & SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS

WEATHER: ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

SUNRISE: 6:20 AM
SUNSET: 7:58 PM

MOONRISE: 8:53 AM
MOONSET: 10:56 PM

HIGH TIDE: 10:32 AM
LOW TIDE: 4:29 PM

HIGH TIDE: 10:54 PM
LOW TIDE: 5:28 AM MON.

EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): THE COMBINATION OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD INTERACTING WITH STREAMING TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPARK SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

FORECAST FOR MONDAY

WEATHER: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, BUT INCREASING 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BUT GUSTY IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN, INCREASING 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS BY AFTERNOON.

FORECAST FOR TUESDAY

WEATHER: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE NORTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
WINDS: SOUTHERLY AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS BUT WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS… EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS.

 

FORECASTER: S. SEARS / AC

 

 

 

.
.